In The Iranian Revolution Then and Now, Dariush Zahedi assesses the Islamic Republic's potential for revolution through an in-depth, theoretically informed, comparative analysis of the present with 1979 pre-Revolutionary Iran. Zahedi discusses how the potential for a revolutionary coup is based on two things: the inherent defects and vulnerabilities in the regime and the coordinated actions of the social groups and individuals opposed to the regime. He also identifies two ?ideal-typical? forms of revolutionary change (the regime collapses on its own, or, the regime is overthrown). He concludes that the chances for overthrowing the present regime are moderate.
Table of Contents
Introduction -- The Problem of Revolution -- The Social Underpinnings of Present-Day and Prerevolutionary Regimes: The Intelligentsia, the Clerics, and the Bazaaris -- The Social Underpinnings of the Monarchy and the Theocracy: The Business Community, the Middle Class, and the Dispossessed -- The Oppositional Forces: From Temporary Cohesion to Large-Scale Demoralization and Disorganization -- Comparing the Nature and Leadership Qualities of Prerevolutionary and Postrevolutionary Authoritarian Regimes -- Conclusion: The Problem of Revolution Revisited